Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia leads the “Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies” event at 63.0% implied probability, followed by Washington at 39.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington at 39%.
Philadelphia currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia, Washington at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia: 61¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 43¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Philadelphia will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Philadelphia
63.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Washington vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Washington vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for March 31 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
