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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 76.0% // +$7600.00

Live prediction market odds for CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC

2026-05-02

About This Market

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CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-05-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

CF Montréal leads the “CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC” event at 21.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (14.0%), and Atlanta United FC (61.0%). A 76.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
CM
CF MontréalARB
21% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
41.0%33¢49¢51¢67¢
D
DrawARB
14% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.5%26¢27¢73¢74¢
AU
Atlanta United FCARB
61% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.0%21¢25¢75¢79¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC" and why does it matter?

CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). CF Montréal leads at 21% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 14%, Atlanta United FC at 61%.

What is moving the odds on "CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC"?

CF Montréal currently leads at 21% implied probability. Behind CF Montréal, Draw at 14% and Atlanta United FC at 61% are the next closest contenders. The 76.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: CF Montréal: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta United FC: 99¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 76.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that CF Montréal is at 21%?

A price of 21¢ means the market estimates a 21% probability that CF Montréal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 21¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 376% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks

Market Rulebook: CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie wins the Atlanta vs Montreal professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atlanta vs Montreal professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats
Spread76.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

CF Montréal

21.0% avg

No price history available