Live prediction market odds for Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-18
Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Chicago Fire FC leads the “Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati” event at 19.5% implied probability. Other contenders include FC Cincinnati (17.3%), and Draw (63.0%). A 72.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Fire FC leads at 20% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include FC Cincinnati at 17%, Draw at 63%.
Chicago Fire FC currently leads at 20% implied probability. Behind Chicago Fire FC, FC Cincinnati at 17% and Draw at 63% are the next closest contenders. The 72.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Fire FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. FC Cincinnati: 1¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 99¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 72.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 20¢ means the market estimates a 20% probability that Chicago Fire FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 20¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 400% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Chicago Fire FC
19.5% avg
