Live prediction market odds for D.C. United vs. New York City FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-03
D.C. United vs. New York City FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-05-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York City FC leads the “D.C. United vs. New York City FC” event at 56.8% implied probability, followed by Draw at 24.5%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
D.C. United vs. New York City FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York City FC leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 25%.
New York City FC currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind New York City FC, Draw at 25% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York City FC: 58¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 25¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that New York City FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New York City FC
56.8% avg
