Live prediction market odds for FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-02
This market resolved on 2026-05-02. FC Cincinnati was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC — Major League Soccer game held on 2026-05-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
FC CincinnatiWINNER | 99% | 22% |
Chicago Fire FC | 1% | 57% |
Draw | 1% | 22% |
FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). FC Cincinnati led the market at 61% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Fire FC at 29%, Draw at 12%.
FC Cincinnati held the lead at 61% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind FC Cincinnati, Chicago Fire FC at 29% and Draw at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 77.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: FC Cincinnati: 99¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Fire FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 77.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ meant the market estimated a 61% chance that FC Cincinnati would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 61¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 64% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
FC Cincinnati
60.5% avg
