Live prediction market odds for Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-02
Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-05-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Union leads the “Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union” event at 22.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (65.0%), and Nashville SC (14.5%). A 68.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Union leads at 22% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 65%, Nashville SC at 15%.
Philadelphia Union currently leads at 22% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Union, Draw at 65% and Nashville SC at 15% are the next closest contenders. The 68.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Union: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 99¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Nashville SC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 68.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 22¢ means the market estimates a 22% probability that Philadelphia Union will be the outcome. Buying one share at 22¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 355% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Philadelphia vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Philadelphia Union
22.0% avg
