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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 38.0% // +$3800.00

Live prediction market odds for New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

New England Revolution Wins: New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC

Resolved 2026-04-22

This market resolved on 2026-04-22. New England Revolution was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

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New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer game held on 2026-04-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
New England RevolutionWINNER
99%90%
Atlanta United FC
1%39%
Draw
1%27%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC" and why did it matter?

New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New England Revolution led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlanta United FC at 20%, Draw at 14%.

What moved the odds on "New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC"?

New England Revolution held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New England Revolution, Atlanta United FC at 20% and Draw at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 38.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New England Revolution: 99¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta United FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 38.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 95% odds for New England Revolution mean?

A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that New England Revolution would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread38.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Market Rulebook: New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New England wins the Atlanta vs New England professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atlanta vs New England professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If New England Revolution wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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New England Revolution

94.5% avg

No price history available