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Live prediction market odds for New York City FC vs. CF Montréal. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

New York City FC vs. CF Montréal

2026-04-25

About This Market

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New York City FC vs. CF Montréal — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

New York City FC leads the “New York City FC vs. CF Montréal” event at 39.0% implied probability. Other contenders include CF Montréal (36.3%), and Draw (28.3%). A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
NY
New York City FC
39% Avg
Kalshi43¢
Polymarket43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
38.0%33¢43¢57¢67¢
PolymarketPolymarket
39.0%35¢43¢57¢65¢
CM
CF Montréal
36% Avg
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
35.0%30¢40¢60¢70¢
PolymarketPolymarket
37.5%34¢41¢59¢66¢
D
Draw
28% Avg
Kalshi32¢
Polymarket33¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%22¢32¢68¢78¢
PolymarketPolymarket
29.5%26¢33¢67¢74¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "New York City FC vs. CF Montréal" and why does it matter?

New York City FC vs. CF Montréal is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York City FC leads at 39% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include CF Montréal at 36%, Draw at 28%.

What is moving the odds on "New York City FC vs. CF Montréal"?

New York City FC currently leads at 39% implied probability. Behind New York City FC, CF Montréal at 36% and Draw at 28% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "New York City FC vs. CF Montréal" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York City FC: 38¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. CF Montréal: 35¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 27¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that New York City FC is at 39%?

A price of 39¢ means the market estimates a 39% probability that New York City FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 39¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 156% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3

Market Rulebook: New York City FC vs. CF Montréal

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie wins the Montreal vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Montreal vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

New York City FC

39.0% avg