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Live prediction market odds for Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Orlando City SC Wins: Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF

Resolved 2026-05-02

This market resolved on 2026-05-02. Orlando City SC was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 50%.

About This Market

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Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF — Major League Soccer game held on 2026-05-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Orlando City SCWINNER
99%2%
Inter Miami CF
1%94%
Draw
1%4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF" and why did it matter?

Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando City SC led the market at 50% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Inter Miami CF at 48%, Draw at 2%.

What moved the odds on "Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF"?

Orlando City SC held the lead at 50% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando City SC, Inter Miami CF at 48% and Draw at 2% were the next closest contenders. The 97.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando City SC: 99¢ on Kalshi, 2¢ on Polymarket. Inter Miami CF: 1¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. The 97.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 50% odds for Orlando City SC mean?

A price of 50¢ meant the market estimated a 50% chance that Orlando City SC would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 50¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 100% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread97.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Market Rulebook: Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Miami wins the Miami vs Orlando professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Orlando professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Inter Miami CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Orlando City SC

50.3% avg