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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 26.0% // +$2600.00

Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Columbus Crew Wins: Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew

Resolved 2026-04-25

This market resolved on 2026-04-25. Columbus Crew was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.

About This Market

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Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew — Major League Soccer game held on 2026-04-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Columbus CrewWINNER
99%73%
Draw
1%18%
Philadelphia Union
1%10%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew" and why did it matter?

Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Columbus Crew led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Draw at 10%, Philadelphia Union at 6%.

What moved the odds on "Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew"?

Columbus Crew held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Columbus Crew, Draw at 10% and Philadelphia Union at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 26.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Columbus Crew: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Union: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 26.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 86% odds for Columbus Crew mean?

A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Columbus Crew would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread26.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie wins the Columbus vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Columbus vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Columbus Crew

86.0% avg

No price history available