Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Union leads the “Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC” event at 21.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Toronto FC (15.5%), and Draw (64.0%). A 70.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Union leads at 21% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Toronto FC at 16%, Draw at 64%.
Philadelphia Union currently leads at 21% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Union, Toronto FC at 16% and Draw at 64% are the next closest contenders. The 70.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Union: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Toronto FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 70.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 21¢ means the market estimates a 21% probability that Philadelphia Union will be the outcome. Buying one share at 21¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 376% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Toronto vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Toronto FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Philadelphia Union
21.0% avg
