Live prediction market odds for Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego FC leads the “Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC” event at 52.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Portland Timbers (30.5%), and Draw (15.0%). A 13.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego FC leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Portland Timbers at 31%, Draw at 15%.
San Diego FC currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind San Diego FC, Portland Timbers at 31% and Draw at 15% are the next closest contenders. The 13.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego FC: 52¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Portland Timbers: 37¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 13¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 13.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that San Diego FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Diego FC wins the San Diego FC vs Portland professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego FC vs Portland professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If San Diego FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
San Diego FC
52.5% avg
