Live prediction market odds for San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. San Jose Earthquakes was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San Jose EarthquakesWINNER | 99% | 43% |
San Diego FC | 1% | 33% |
Draw | 1% | 26% |
San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Jose Earthquakes led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Diego FC at 17%, Draw at 13%.
San Jose Earthquakes held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Jose Earthquakes, San Diego FC at 17% and Draw at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 56.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Jose Earthquakes: 99¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. San Diego FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. The 56.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that San Jose Earthquakes would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Jose wins the San Jose vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Jose vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
San Jose Earthquakes
70.8% avg
