Live prediction market odds for San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-04
San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Jose leads the “San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes” event at 41.3% implied probability. Other contenders include San Diego FC (32.5%), and Tie (28.5%). A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Jose leads at 41% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Diego FC at 33%, Tie at 29%.
San Jose currently leads at 41% implied probability. Behind San Jose, San Diego FC at 33% and Tie at 29% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Jose: 42¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. San Diego FC: 33¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 31¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 41¢ means the market estimates a 41% probability that San Jose will be the outcome. Buying one share at 41¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 144% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
San Jose
41.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Jose wins the San Jose vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Jose vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
