Live prediction market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Jose leads the “San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City” event at 48.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Sporting Kansas City (29.0%), and Tie (24.5%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Jose leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sporting Kansas City at 29%, Tie at 25%.
San Jose currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind San Jose, Sporting Kansas City at 29% and Tie at 25% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Jose: 49¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Sporting Kansas City: 30¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 25¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that San Jose will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
San Jose
48.3% avg
