Live prediction market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis CITY SC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis CITY SC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Jose Earthquakes leads the “San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis CITY SC” event at 35.5% implied probability. Other contenders include St. Louis CITY SC (33.5%), and Draw (22.0%). A 15.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis CITY SC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Jose Earthquakes leads at 36% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include St. Louis CITY SC at 34%, Draw at 22%.
San Jose Earthquakes currently leads at 36% implied probability. Behind San Jose Earthquakes, St. Louis CITY SC at 34% and Draw at 22% are the next closest contenders. The 15.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Jose Earthquakes: 37¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. St. Louis CITY SC: 26¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 18¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. The 15.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 36¢ means the market estimates a 36% probability that San Jose Earthquakes will be the outcome. Buying one share at 36¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 178% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Saint Louis wins the Saint Louis vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Saint Louis vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If St. Louis City SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
San Jose Earthquakes
35.5% avg
