Live prediction market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-02
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-05-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Jose Earthquakes leads the “San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto FC” event at 37.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Toronto FC (36.8%), and Draw (25.8%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Jose Earthquakes leads at 38% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Toronto FC at 37%, Draw at 26%.
San Jose Earthquakes currently leads at 38% implied probability. Behind San Jose Earthquakes, Toronto FC at 37% and Draw at 26% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Jose Earthquakes: 37¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Toronto FC: 37¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 38¢ means the market estimates a 38% probability that San Jose Earthquakes will be the outcome. Buying one share at 38¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 163% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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San Jose Earthquakes
37.5% avg
