Live prediction market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs. Chicago Fire FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
Sporting Kansas City vs. Chicago Fire FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Chicago Fire FC leads the “Sporting Kansas City vs. Chicago Fire FC” event at 67.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (17.3%), and Sporting Kansas City (14.3%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Chicago Fire FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Fire FC leads at 67% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 17%, Sporting Kansas City at 14%.
Chicago Fire FC currently leads at 67% implied probability. Behind Chicago Fire FC, Draw at 17% and Sporting Kansas City at 14% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Fire FC: 67¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 17¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. Sporting Kansas City: 14¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 67¢ means the market estimates a 67% probability that Chicago Fire FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 67¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 49% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Chicago Fire vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago Fire vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Sporting Kansas City wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Chicago Fire FC
67.3% avg
