Live prediction market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-04
Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Salt Lake leads the “Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake” event at 67.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Tie (22.5%), and Sporting Kansas City (12.0%). A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Salt Lake leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 23%, Sporting Kansas City at 12%.
Salt Lake currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Salt Lake, Tie at 23% and Sporting Kansas City at 12% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Salt Lake: 69¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 23¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Sporting Kansas City: 11¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Salt Lake will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Salt Lake
67.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Salt Lake vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Salt Lake vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If Sporting Kansas City wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
