Live prediction market odds for St. Louis CITY SC vs. New York City FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-04
St. Louis CITY SC vs. New York City FC — Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York City FC leads the “St. Louis CITY SC vs. New York City FC” event at 27.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (61.8%), and St. Louis CITY SC (10.8%). A 74.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
St. Louis CITY SC vs. New York City FC is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York City FC leads at 28% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 62%, St. Louis CITY SC at 11%.
New York City FC currently leads at 28% implied probability. Behind New York City FC, Draw at 62% and St. Louis CITY SC at 11% are the next closest contenders. The 74.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York City FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 99¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. St. Louis CITY SC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 74.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 28¢ means the market estimates a 28% probability that New York City FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 28¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 257% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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New York City FC
27.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the New York City vs Saint Louis professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York City vs Saint Louis professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
