Live prediction market odds for MN-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MN-02 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will influence the balance of power in Congress and reflects broader political trends in the region.
Democratic Party leads the “MN-02 House winner” event at 86.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 12.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout. Local issues and national political climate also play significant roles.
The outcome can shift the majority in the House of Representatives, impacting legislative priorities. A change in party control could lead to significant policy changes.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle for federal offices.
MN-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 13%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 13% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic Party
86.3% avg
