Live prediction market odds for MO-06 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-08-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee in Missouri's 6th congressional district. This nomination is crucial as it could influence party dynamics and strategies leading up to the 2026 elections.
Nathan Willett is priced at 10.5% implied probability for the “MO-06 Republican nominee” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Odds are influenced by candidate polling, fundraising efforts, and endorsements. Additionally, local political dynamics and national trends can affect voter sentiment.
The election for the Republican nominee in Missouri's 6th district is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This primary will determine the candidate who will run in the general election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as political nominations. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
MO-06 Republican nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nathan Willett leads at 11% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Nathan Willett currently leads at 11% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Nathan Willett
10.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nathan Hall Willett wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
