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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 49.0% // +$4900.00

Live prediction market odds for Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Utah State Wins: Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion

Resolved 2026-03-15

This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Utah State was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion. This tournament is crucial as it determines the conference's representative in the NCAA tournament, impacting teams' postseason opportunities and fan engagement.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Utah StateWINNER
99%100%
Air Force
1%50%
Boise State
1%50%
Colorado State

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament?

Winning the tournament grants a team an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. This can greatly influence a team's season and future recruitment.

How do teams qualify for the Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament?

Teams qualify based on their performance during the regular season, with the top teams earning spots in the tournament. Seeding can affect matchups and overall chances.

What factors influence the odds in this tournament?

Factors include team performance, injuries, historical matchups, and expert analyses. Betting odds can fluctuate based on these elements leading up to the tournament.

What was "Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion" and why did it matter?

Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Utah State led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Air Force at 26%, Boise State at 26%, Colorado State at 26%.

What moved the odds on "Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion"?

Utah State held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Utah State, Air Force at 26% and Boise State at 26% and Colorado State at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNFox SportsKalshi using information originating from the NCAA
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.0%
Platforms2

Market Rulebook: Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Diego St. is the 2026 Men's College Basketball Mountain West conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
ESPNFox SportsKalshi using information originating from the NCAA
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
1%
50%
Nevada
1%50%
New Mexico
1%50%
San Diego State
1%50%
San Jose State
1%50%
UNLV
1%50%
Wyoming
1%50%
Grand Canyon
13%50%
Fresno State
8%50%
Candidates
12
Winner

Utah State

99.5% avg

No price history available