Live prediction market odds for MT-01 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-06-02
Ryan Busse leads the “MT-01 Democratic nominee” event at 63.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Sam Forstag (23.0%), and Russell Cleveland (8.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
MT-01 Democratic nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Ryan Busse leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sam Forstag at 23%, Russell Cleveland at 8%.
Ryan Busse currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Ryan Busse, Sam Forstag at 23% and Russell Cleveland at 8% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Ryan Busse: 63¢ on Kalshi. Sam Forstag: 23¢ on Kalshi. Russell Cleveland: 8¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Ryan Busse will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Ryan Busse
63.0% avg
