About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MT-01 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will play a crucial role in determining the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative priorities and national policies.
Republican Party leads the “MT-01 House winner” event at 56.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 43.3%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

