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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 49.0% // +$4900.00

Live prediction market odds for Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Tommy Lloyd Wins: Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year

Resolved 2026-04-13

This market resolved on 2026-04-13. Tommy Lloyd was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award for 2026. This award highlights the top coaching talent in college basketball, with implications for team performance and recruitment strategies in the sport.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Tommy LloydWINNER
99%100%
Bill Self
1%50%
Brad Underwood
1%50%
Dusty May

Candidate Spotlight

About Tommy Lloyd

Tommy Lloyd is the head coach of the University of Arizona men's basketball team. He previously served as an assistant coach at Gonzaga University for 20 years. His leadership has significantly elevated Arizona's basketball program, making him a strong contender for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Bill Self

Bill Self is the head coach of the Kansas Jayhawks men's basketball team. He has led Kansas to two NCAA championships in 2008 and 2022. He is a candidate for the 2026 Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Brad Underwood

Brad Underwood is the head coach of the Illinois Fighting Illini men's basketball team. He led the team to the 2024 Big Ten Tournament Championship and an Elite Eight appearance in the NCAA Tournament. Underwood is a candidate for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Dusty May

Frequently Asked Questions

What criteria are used to determine the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year?

The award is based on a coach's performance throughout the season, including win-loss records, team improvement, and overall impact on players. Voter panels typically consist of sportswriters and coaches.

How does the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year affect a coach's career?

Winning this award can enhance a coach's reputation, potentially leading to better job offers or contract extensions. It also boosts visibility and credibility within the college basketball community.

What factors influence the odds in the prediction markets for this award?

Odds can fluctuate based on team performance, player injuries, and changes in coaching staff. Additionally, media coverage and public sentiment can also impact market perceptions leading up to the award announcement.

What was "Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year" and why did it matter?

Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tommy Lloyd led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Bill Self at 26%, Brad Underwood at 26%, Dusty May at 26%.

What moved the odds on "Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year"?

Tommy Lloyd held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tommy Lloyd, Bill Self at 26% and Brad Underwood at 26% and Dusty May at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.0%
Platforms2
Candidates11
Winner

Market Rulebook: Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Mark Byington wins Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year in the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to the coach who wins the 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award in Men’s Basketball. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the coach whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
1%
50%
Fred Hoiberg
1%50%
Jon Scheyer
1%50%
Josh Schertz
1%50%
Mark Byington
1%50%
T.J. Otzelberger
1%50%
Tom Izzo
1%50%
Travis Steele
1%50%
Dusty May is the head coach of the Michigan Wolverines men's basketball team. He previously led Florida Atlantic University to its first Final Four appearance in 2023. He is a candidate for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Fred Hoiberg

Fred Hoiberg is the head coach of the Nebraska Cornhuskers men's basketball team. He led Nebraska to a 26-5 record in the 2025–26 season, earning Big Ten Coach of the Year honors. Hoiberg's leadership has positioned Nebraska as a strong contender in the Big Ten Conference.

About Jon Scheyer

Jon Scheyer is the head coach of Duke University's men's basketball team. He led Duke to a Final Four appearance in 2025 and secured a contract extension through the 2030-31 season. His leadership and recent achievements make him a strong contender for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Josh Schertz

Josh Schertz is the head coach of Saint Louis University's men's basketball team. He previously led Indiana State University to a 32-7 record and an NIT championship appearance in 2024. Schertz's coaching success and recent achievements make him a strong contender for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Mark Byington

Mark Byington is the head coach of Vanderbilt University's men's basketball team. He previously led James Madison University to a 32-4 record and the NCAA Tournament's second round in 2023-24. His coaching achievements make him a strong contender for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About T.J. Otzelberger

T.J. Otzelberger is the head coach of Iowa State University's men's basketball team. He led the Cyclones to consecutive Sweet 16 appearances in 2022 and 2023. His leadership and success make him a strong contender for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Tom Izzo

Tom Izzo is the head coach of Michigan State University's men's basketball team. He led the Spartans to a national championship in 2000 and has guided them to eight Final Four appearances. His leadership and success make him a strong contender for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award.

About Travis Steele

Travis Steele is the head men's basketball coach at Miami University. He previously served as head coach at Xavier University from 2018 to 2022. He is relevant to the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year award due to his exceptional coaching performance at Miami.

Tommy Lloyd

99.5% avg

No price history available