Live prediction market odds for NASA lands on the moon?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2027-01-01
Kalshi is tracking the event of NASA landing on the moon, anticipated to occur by 2027. This mission represents a major milestone in space exploration, with implications for scientific advancement and international competition in space technology.
Before 2030 leads the “NASA lands on the moon” event at 56.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Before 2029 (35.0%), Before 2028 (8.1%), and Before 2027 (3.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
A successful moon landing would mark humanity's return to the lunar surface, fostering advancements in science and technology. It also aims to establish a foundation for future missions to Mars and beyond.
The mission aims to explore the lunar surface, conduct scientific research, and test new technologies for sustainable human presence. It also seeks to gather data that could support future deep-space exploration.
Public interest can influence the odds as excitement and media coverage increase awareness and speculation. Factors such as funding, technological readiness, and international partnerships also play a role in shaping market dynamics.
NASA lands on the moon is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before 2030 leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Before 2029 at 35%, Before 2028 at 8%, Before 2027 at 3%.
Before 2030 currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Before 2030, Before 2029 at 35% and Before 2028 at 8% and Before 2027 at 3% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Before 2030
56.0% avg
