About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Hawks vs. Hornets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Charlotte Hornets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Charlotte HornetsWINNER | 99% | 37% |
Charlotte HornetsWINNER | 55% | 55% |
Atlanta Hawks | 46% | 46% |
Atlanta Hawks | 1% | 64% |
Hawks vs. Hornets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Charlotte Hornets led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Charlotte Hornets at 55%, Atlanta Hawks at 46%, Atlanta Hawks at 32%.
Charlotte Hornets held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Charlotte Hornets, Charlotte Hornets at 55% and Atlanta Hawks at 46% and Atlanta Hawks at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Charlotte Hornets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Charlotte Hornets: 55¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 46¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Charlotte Hornets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Charlotte Hornets
67.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Charlotte wins the Atlanta vs Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.