Live prediction market odds for Hawks vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-09
This market resolved on 2026-01-09. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 54% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 47% |
Hawks vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 24%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Denver Nuggets at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 45.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 45.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Atlanta Hawks
76.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Atlanta at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
