Live prediction market odds for Hawks vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-11
This market resolved on 2026-01-11. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 66%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 33% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 68% |
Hawks vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 66% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 34%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 66% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Golden State Warriors at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 66.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. The 66.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ meant the market estimated a 66% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 66¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 52% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Atlanta Hawks
65.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Atlanta at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
