Live prediction market odds for Hawks vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
nba-atl-mia-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Hawks vs. Heat - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 48% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 53% |
Hawks vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 27%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Miami Heat at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Atlanta Hawks
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Atlanta at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
