Question 1

What was "Hawks vs. Timberwolves" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Hawks vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlanta Hawks at 9%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Hawks vs. Timberwolves"?

Accepted Answer

Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Atlanta Hawks at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 22.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Hawks vs. Timberwolves" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 22.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 92% odds for Minnesota Timberwolves mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER	99%	77%	99%
Atlanta Hawks	1%	24%	2%

Minnesota Timberwolves Wins: Hawks vs. Timberwolves

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Hawks vs. Timberwolves