Live prediction market odds for Hawks vs. Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-03
This market resolved on 2026-01-03. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 63% |
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Atlanta Hawks | 1% | 44% |
Atlanta Hawks | 1% | 38% |
Hawks vs. Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 78%, Atlanta Hawks at 22%, Atlanta Hawks at 19%.
Toronto held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Toronto at 78% and Atlanta Hawks at 22% and Atlanta Hawks at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Atlanta vs Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
