Live prediction market odds for Hawks vs. Trail Blazers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. Portland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PortlandWINNER | 99% | 39% |
Atlanta Hawks | 1% | 62% |
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portland led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlanta Hawks at 31%.
Portland held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Portland, Atlanta Hawks at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 60.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. The 60.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Portland would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Portland
68.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Portland wins the Atlanta at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
