Live prediction market odds for Celtics vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Boston Celtics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
nba-bos-dal-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Celtics vs. Mavericks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Boston CelticsWINNER | 99% | 71% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 30% |
Celtics vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Boston Celtics led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 15%.
Boston Celtics held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Boston Celtics, Dallas Mavericks at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Boston Celtics: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Boston Celtics would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Boston Celtics
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Boston at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
