Live prediction market odds for Celtics vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Boston Celtics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
nba-bos-hou-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Celtics vs. Rockets - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Boston CelticsWINNER | 99% | 31% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 70% |
Celtics vs. Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Boston Celtics led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Rockets at 35%.
Boston Celtics held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Boston Celtics, Houston Rockets at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 68.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Boston Celtics: 99¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. The 68.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Boston Celtics would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Boston Celtics
64.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Boston at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
