Live prediction market odds for Celtics vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. Boston Celtics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Boston CelticsWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 43% |
Celtics vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Boston Celtics led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 22%.
Boston Celtics held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Boston Celtics, Miami Heat at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Boston Celtics: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Boston Celtics would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Boston Celtics
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Boston at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
