About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Nets vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-14
This market resolved on 2025-11-14. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 77% |
Brooklyn Nets | 1% | 24% |
Nets vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Brooklyn Nets at 12%.
Orlando held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Brooklyn Nets at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Brooklyn Nets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
87.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Brooklyn wins the Brooklyn at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.