About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Hornets vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-17
This market resolved on 2026-01-17. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 72% |
Charlotte Hornets | 1% | 29% |
Hornets vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Charlotte Hornets at 15%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Charlotte Hornets at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 27.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Charlotte Hornets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 27.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
85.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Charlotte at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.