Question 1

What was "Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Chicago Bulls led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 27%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors"?

Accepted Answer

Chicago Bulls held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Chicago Bulls, Golden State Warriors at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 67.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Chicago Bulls: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 67.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 76% odds for Chicago Bulls mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Chicago Bulls would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Chicago BullsWINNER	99%	32%	99%
Golden State Warriors	1%	69%	11%

Chicago Bulls Wins: Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors