Live prediction market odds for Bulls vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-31
This market resolved on 2026-01-31. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
nba-chi-mia-2026-01-31 : Sports event: Bulls vs. Heat - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 92% |
Chicago Bulls | 99% | 9% |
Miami HeatWINNER | 1% | 92% |
Chicago Bulls | 1% | 9% |
Bulls vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bulls at 54%, Miami Heat at 46%, Chicago Bulls at 5%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Chicago Bulls at 54% and Miami Heat at 46% and Chicago Bulls at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 90.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bulls: 99¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bulls: 1¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. The 90.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Miami Heat
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the Chicago at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
