Live prediction market odds for Bulls vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-01
This market resolved on 2025-12-01. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 78% |
Chicago Bulls | 1% | 23% |
Bulls vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bulls at 12%.
Orlando held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Chicago Bulls at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bulls: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 21.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
88.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Chicago vs Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
