Live prediction market odds for Bulls vs. Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
nba-chi-tor-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Bulls vs. Raptors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 73% |
Chicago Bulls | 1% | 28% |
Bulls vs. Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bulls at 14%.
Toronto held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Chicago Bulls at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bulls: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
85.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the Chicago at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
