Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 31% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 70% |
Cavaliers vs. Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 35%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Cleveland Cavaliers at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 68.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. The 68.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Atlanta Hawks
64.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
