Question 1

What was "Cavaliers vs. Hornets" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Cavaliers vs. Hornets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Charlotte Hornets at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Cavaliers vs. Hornets"?

Accepted Answer

Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Charlotte Hornets at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 29.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Cavaliers vs. Hornets" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cleveland Cavaliers: 66¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Charlotte Hornets: 35¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 29.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 76% odds for Cleveland Cavaliers mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER	66%	66%	95%
Charlotte Hornets	35%	35%	8%

Cleveland Cavaliers Wins: Cavaliers vs. Hornets

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Cavaliers vs. Hornets