Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-27
This market resolved on 2025-12-27. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 43% |
Cavaliers vs. Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Rockets led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 22%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Cleveland Cavaliers at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Rockets
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Cleveland vs Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
