Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. Pacers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-01
This market resolved on 2025-12-01. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 69% |
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 37% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 32% |
Cavaliers vs. Pacers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 81%, Indiana Pacers at 19%, Indiana Pacers at 16%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Cleveland Cavaliers at 81% and Indiana Pacers at 19% and Indiana Pacers at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 35.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 35.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Cleveland Cavaliers
83.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Cleveland vs Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
