Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-21
nba-cle-nop-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicans - nba
Cleveland Cavaliers leads the “Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicans” event at 68.3% implied probability, followed by New Orleans at 33.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicans is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include New Orleans at 34%.
Cleveland Cavaliers currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, New Orleans at 34% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 70¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 34¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Cleveland Cavaliers will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Cleveland Cavaliers
68.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Cleveland at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
