About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. 76ers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-14
This market resolved on 2026-01-14. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 49% |
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 44% |
Philadelphia | 1% | 57% |
Philadelphia | 1% | 52% |
Cavaliers vs. 76ers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 71%, Philadelphia at 29%, Philadelphia at 26%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Cleveland Cavaliers at 71% and Philadelphia at 29% and Philadelphia at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Cleveland Cavaliers
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Cleveland at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.