Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-30
This market resolved on 2026-01-30. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
nba-cle-phx-2026-01-30 : Sports event: Cavaliers vs. Suns - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 46% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 55% |
Cavaliers vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 28%.
Phoenix held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Cleveland Cavaliers at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 53.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The 53.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
72.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Cleveland at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
