Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-29
This market resolved on 2025-12-29. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 42% |
San Antonio | 1% | 59% |
Cavaliers vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio at 30%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, San Antonio at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 57.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. The 57.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Cleveland Cavaliers
70.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
